Price breakdown of new energy battery cabinets

Do projected cost reductions for battery storage vary over time?

The suite of publications demonstrates wide variation in projected cost reductions for battery storage over time. Figure ES-1 shows the suite of projected cost reductions (on a normalized basis) collected from the literature (shown in gray) as well as the low, mid, and high cost projections developed in this work (shown in black).

What are NREL battery cost projections?

NREL utilizes the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) (Ho et al. 2021) for capacity expansion modeling, and the battery cost projections developed here are designed to be used in those models. Additionally, the projections are intended to inform the cost projections published in the Annual Technology Baseline (NREL 2024).

What are battery cost projections for 4-hour lithium-ion systems?

Battery cost projections for 4-hour lithium-ion systems, with values relative to 2024. The high, mid, and low cost projections developed in this work are shown as bold lines. Published projections are shown as gray lines. Figure values are included in the Appendix.

When are battery cost projections updated?

In 2019, battery cost projections were updated based on publications that focused on utility-scale battery systems (Cole and Frazier 2019), with updates published in 2020 (Cole and Frazier 2020), 2021 (Cole, Frazier, and Augustine 2021), and 2023 (Cole and Karmakar 2023).

Are electric vehicle battery projections based on NREL projections?

In 2016, the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) published a set of cost projections for utility-scale lithium-ion batteries (Cole et al. 2016). Those 2016 projections relied heavily on electric vehicle battery projections because utility-scale battery projections were largely unavailable for durations longer than 30 minutes.

Are lithium-ion batteries more expensive than solid-state batteries?

As mentioned, lithium-ion batteries are popular but more expensive. Newer technologies like solid-state batteries promise higher performance at potentially lower costs in the future, but they are still in the developmental stage. Government incentives, rebates, and tax credits can significantly reduce BESS costs.